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SEGMENT ANALYSIS
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CARRIER INFRASTRUCTURE: What Slowdown?
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Most companies grew, some by impressive margins. The new technologies penetration, however, is yet to happen. |
| Voice&Data |
| Thursday, July 19, 2001 |
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The Industry
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The total size of carrier equipment industry in 2000-01
was Rs 9,369.22 crore.
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The V&D100 companies accounted for 81.8 percent of
the total industry size. The V&D100 equipment companies totalled Rs
5,746.89 crore while the turnkey companies contributed Rs 1,922.08 crore.
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For a comparison with last year’s figures, the combined
equipment/turnkey Top 10 companies contributed Rs 6,965.09 crore. The
corresponding figure in 1999-2000 was Rs 5,133.9 crore. This was a growth of
35.67 percent.
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The turnkey business grew rapidly, thanks to the large
cable deployment by companies. On the equipment front, almost all big
companies did well. Most of the private companies grew by more than 30
percent.
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The new technology companies however, were slower. For
example, Cisco which had an impressive 125 percent growth, grew by less than
50 percent, compared to an impressive 101 percent by HFCL and 85 percent by
Lucent. Interestingly, both the companies had a mix of government and
private orders. Traditional equipment like TDM switching, GSM radio,
microwave, SDH and IS 95 CDMA wireless systems sold maximum.
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New technologies like Carrier IP networks, GPRS systems
that were expected to be deployed were non- starters. DWDM systems
deployment also did not happen though the decision-making process has
started. Broadband technologies were deployed by a large number of service
providers, but in small ways.
Deployment
BSNL/MTNL
Switching:
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As on 31 March 2001, BSNL had an equipped switching
capacity of 399 lakh. The corporation added 71.46 lakh lines, against a
target of 72.35 lakh. This was an under achievement of 1.23 percent. The
total switching capacity increased by 21.8 percent. In 1999-2000, the
corporation had added 65.95 lakh lines, against a target of 58.7 lakh, which
was an over-achievement of 37.58 percent. BSNL (DTS earlier) had been over
achieving the target for the last few years. It seems to have reached a
plateau.
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The total TAX capacity on 31 December 2000 (the latest
figures available) was 22.06 lakh. This meant an addition of 2.58 lakh lines
(an increase of 13.25 percent) over March 2000, total base of 19.47 lakh. It
seems BSNL will under achieve the target here as well, because it had plans
to add as much as 5.14 lakh by 31 March 2001. In 1999-2000 too, DTS had
underachieved, though by a smaller margin of 7.7 percent. With competition
coming in long distance, BSNL may well be fearing the under-utilization of
TAX capacity.
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In 1999-2000, BSNL/MTNL started introducing Intelligent
Network (IN) services. In 2000-01, fifty locations were provided with IN
facilities, taking the total number of stations with similar facility to
ninety-seven.
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Last year, BSNL issued a tender of 2.018 million lines
for new technology switches in January 2001. The price drop trend continued
with L1 Lucent quoting Rs 1,979 per line. The order was placed at that price
with Lucent (8,18,000 lines), Siemens (4,00,000 lines), Alcatel (4,00,000
lines), and HTL (4,00,000 lines). HTL accepted the order for only 1,00,000
lines. For the first time, ITI’s bid was rejected. So was Ericsson’s.
The total value of the order was worth Rs 340 crore.
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MTNL also bought large new technology exchanges worth Rs
115 crore, at a price of roughly Rs 2,400 per line. Siemens bagged 1,90,000
lines while HTL, Lucent and ITI bagged 95,000 lines each.
Transmission:
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Against an over-ambitious target of 1 lakh route
kilometers, BSNL managed to add 54,000 route kilometer of Optical Fiber
Cable (OFC), thanks to the unavailability of cable. Private service
providers came in a big way
and seriously affected BSNL’s plans. In fact, the total addition was not
only a huge 46 percent underachievement, it was lower than what was added in
the previous year.In 1999-2000, DoT had added 63,265 route kilometre, which
was almost double of what it had added in 1999-2000.
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BSNL added a total of 583 lckm of Jelly-Filled Telephone
Cables (JFTC). But the company is planning to go for distributed switching
in a big way, thus hoping to optimize on the cable plant. In 2001-02,
therefore, BSNL will deploy less amount of JFTC. The plan as of date is to
deploy 473 lckm, though there is every possibility that it may be reduced
further.
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On the microwave front, BSNL overachieved by 60 percent
against the target and added 16,00 rkm of microwave. This is less than last
year’s addition of 19,881 rkm. This was because the company is wanting to
move to fiber and use microwave only in some areas. The total base as on 31
March 2001 was 1,85,152 rkm and it plans to add 7,500 rkm in 2000-02.
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BSNL continued to deploy SDH equipment in full swing. It
also made new purchases worth around Rs 120 crore, out of which Rs 51 crore
was for STM 1 and Rs 69 crore was for STM 4. Fibcom bagged 40 percent of the
order while ITI bagged 20 percent. MTNL also bought SDH equipment worth Rs
35 crore in February. In India, SDH technologies from Tellabs and Mraconi
are competing for market share.
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In 2001-02, it seems SDH is the mantra for BSNL. In
April-June 2001, there has been two tenders from the company for purchase of
SDH equipment. One for STM 16 equipment of the order of Rs 79 crore, and
another for all STM1/4/16 equipment worth about Rs 46 crore.
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Though BSNL targeted installation of MCPC VSATs in a
major way, till December 2000, only forty-three such VSATs had been
deployed, as against a target of 164 units. That took the total installed
base to 394 VSATs.
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On the satellite front, the BSNL/MTNL also augmented the
channel capacity of existing earth stations using Intermediate Data Rate (IDR)
facility. By 31 December 2001, IDR facility was available in fifty-four
routes in the country. Fifteen routes were provided with this facility in
the first three quarters of 2000-01against an annual target of twenty-three.
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