Private telecom operators have neglected most of the Indian population by not
launching broadband in rural belts. Besides doubtful RoI, poor PC penetration
has been cited as one of the main reasons for not expanding in unexploited
areas.
For private players, wireless phones rule the rural market. Operators say,
according to Trai, around 28% of total wireless users are now coming from rural
areas. A large chunk is dominated by private operators. Will they replicate the
wireless success in rural broadband too after grabbing 3G and WiMax spectrum? In
the last quarter of FY 2008-09, the wireless rural user base reached the 109.71
mn mark as against 93.15 mn in the previous quarter.
PC penetration adds value. According to a recent study, for a country like
China, our main rival in the telecom space, the per capita GDP is likely to
increase to $18,000 from $8,000 as PC penetration increases from 5% to 24% from
2005 to 2015. Countries such as Korea, Singapore and Sweden attribute their
inclusive economic growth over the past decade mainly to the increased PC and
broadband penetration.
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| Baburajan K |
Operators and PC makers are working together to make broadband dreams a
reality. The recent tie-up between BSNL and HCL Infosystems to offer rural
broadband is in the right direction. With this initiative, BSNL will be trying
to regain its lost glory in the wireline space with the assistance of the USO
Fund. BSNL commands 99.65% share in rural wireline market, which has declined to
10.58 mn in March 2009 from 11.64 mn in March 2008.
The USO Fund will be offering a subsidy of Rs 4,500 per broadband connection
that BSNL will be rolling out through its 27,789 rural and remote telephone
exchanges. This subsidy is available for private operators too. But there are no
takers at present, as most of them are waiting for launching mobile Internet
connections.
India has set a broadband target of 100 mn by 2014. We will miss our 20 mn
broadband target by 2010, since the broadband subscriber base only increased to
6.80 mn in July 2009. If enough action is not taken, we will miss the 100 mn by
2014 target too.
We need brave actions from the government. Operators will listen to the
Department of Telecommunications. They cannot afford to miss the rural masses.
Along with rural cellular connections, they should offer cost effective
broadband connections too. India did not realize the potential of broadband. It
is time for action. We need stringent rules to encourage private operators to go
rural with broadband connections. They should not neglect the market. Private
players are losing market share in the Internet space. The PSU-run ISP's market
share increased from 67.82% to 69.30% at the end of March 2009.
Since wireline broadband is not the right solution, the forthcoming 3G and
WiMax spectrum auctions can solve the broadband issue. But how many operators
will be looking for a pan India 3G licence? Even if they grab the spectrum, how
many operators will be rolling out affordable mobile Internet services in rural
areas?
Baburajan K
baburajank@cybermedia.co.in
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