With the availability of the 3G spectrum, about 275 mn Indian subscribers will use 3G-enabled services, and the number of 3G-enabled handsets will reach close to 395 mn by 2013 end, estimated by the latest report from Evalueserve, a provider of knowledge process outsourcing (KPO) services.
Although the center has allotted two state-owned operators-BSNL and MTNL -for the roll out of 3G services in over twelve Indian cities, the technology will gather steam only when private telecom operators are also allotted 3G spectrum, says the report.
The growth in the 3G subscriber base is expected to be driven primarily by the adoption of the service by the urban (above poverty line) customer segment.
This segment is expected to be the fastest adopter of the new technology. The urban (above poverty line) segment is expected to account for about 80% of the 3G consumer base by 2013. The below poverty line segment is expected to remain dormant over four to five years following the launch of 3G.
According to Evalueserve estimates, the mobile subscriber base in India is expected to rise at a CAGR of 23 % during 2008-2013 and will reach nearly 1 bn by end of 2013. The growth in this sector, according to the report will be primarily driven by increasing adoption of mobile services by the rural segment, which is largely untapped as of now.
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