If one goes by this model, convergence
has today happened not only within the same layer, but between
different layers shown in Figure 1. To cite an example, a cable
TV provider at Layer 2 can provide telephony service as well,
a distinct service in Layer 2. Or he can even be a content provider,
a Layer 3 service. Most of the companies that provide some of
the product/services see their immediate next area as the scope
of convergence and hence try to expand to those areas. They
define convergence as the convergence of their area of operation
with the immediately expandable technologies, services, industries,
and markets.
While this model is customer based,
it more or less defines the positioning of the providers of
products and services, in relation to the user, and in relation
to each other. However, the scope of regulation is all pervasive
and can be thought of as impacting all the players-including
the user-in this model. Also, the regulatory issues are much
more complex, as it involves an objective that has also to include
social needs, in contrast to the providers of services and products,
who are driven by only commercial needs. So challenges and models
of regulation have been consciously kept out of this model and
are discussed separately.
The Issues
While no one can deny that convergence is happening today, there
is a wide gap between the perception and reality regarding the
nature, extent, and pace of convergence at different levels
such as infrastructure, consumer devices, markets, and regulation.
For example, while more of the talks revolve around accessing
Internet from cellphone or through television sets, they are
not a large-scale commercial reality anywhere in the world.
But a less glamorous convergence like Intelligent Networks at
the carrier infrastructure level or Internet over cable (not
through TV, but through cable modem and PC) are realities.
This has primarily three reasons.
One, the network has to be ready for offering new services and
capability before the end user can access it through fancy consumer
devices with new capabilities. Two, the service providers have
traditionally been in one business (telecom, broadcasting, etc.)
and they want to expand the scope of that business by diversifying
to other services or offering newer services. Hence, they are
adopting newer technologies for the purpose. Last but not the
least, selling to the service providers is more focused and
the selling cycle time is lower. For consumers, it requires
a lot of marketing effort.
But it has one fallout. Since,
it is the operators who are the ones taking the lead in investing
on converged new technologies; the technology development is
taking an evolutionary, rather than a revolutionary path. This
is because the investment that has been made earlier has to
be protected.
Interestingly, while there has been a spate of mergers and acquisitions
of late, many believe (like the majority of respondents to the
European Commission''''''''s Green Paper on Convergence) that while
convergence at the technology and network infrastructure is
happening, it does not necessarily mean that convergence of
markets would follow automatically. Nevertheless, convergence
acts as a catalyst.Page(s) 1 2 3 4
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